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Methodology

Ken Massey's College Football Ranking Comparisons:  Lots of other ranking to see here!

 

 

CURRENT RETRODICTION RATINGS  (Thru Games of: 1/8/2018)

Using these ratings, the lower rated team has beaten a higher rated team
in only 75 out of 776 FBS games (9.66%).
See games below.

Ranking Team W-L* Best
Possible
Worst
Possible
1 UCF 13-0 1 4
2 Alabama 13-1 2 2
3 Clemson 12-2 3 4
4 Georgia 13-2 4 4
5 Auburn 10-4 5 5
6 Oklahoma 12-2 6 6
7 Ohio St 12-2 7 8
8 TCU 11-3 8 23
9 Wisconsin 13-1 8 9
10 Miami FL 10-3 10 10
11 Notre Dame 10-3 11 11
12 Michigan St 10-3 12 13
13 Army 10-3 13 19
14 Penn St 11-2 13 22
15 Memphis 10-3 15 34
16 Washington St 9-4 16 17
17 South Carolina 9-4 17 22
18 Boise St 11-3 18 18
19 Fresno St 10-4 19 19
20 San Diego St 10-3 20 23
21 USC 11-3 17 23
22 Troy 11-2 22 30
23 Michigan 8-5 18 31
24 Stanford 9-5 24 24
25 Oklahoma St 10-3 25 27
26 Wake Forest 8-5 26 26
27 NC State 9-4 27 33
28 Virginia Tech 9-4 28 33
29 Mississippi St 9-4 29 30
30 Northwestern 10-3 30 30
31 LSU 9-4 31 31
32 Maryland 4-8 32 35
33 Iowa 8-5 33 33
34 Boston College 7-6 34 40
35 Houston 7-5 35 36
36 Texas 7-6 36 47
37 South Florida 10-2 36 37
38 Temple 7-6 38 39
39 Arizona St 7-6 39 42
40 Navy 7-6 39 44
41 Louisville 8-5 35 41
42 Purdue 7-6 42 42
43 Washington 10-3 43 43
44 Oregon 7-6 44 45
45 SMU 7-6 45 64
46 Utah 7-6 45 47
47 FL Atlantic 11-3 47 64
48 West Virginia 7-6 47 50
49 Toledo 11-3 49 70
50 Arizona 7-6 50 50
51 Kansas St 8-5 51 51
52 UCLA 6-7 52 52
53 Colorado 5-7 53 60
54 Texas A&M 7-6 54 54
55 Missouri 7-6 55 56
56 Florida St 7-6 56 56
57 Arkansas 4-8 56 63
58 Indiana 5-7 43 73
59 Syracuse 4-8 59 59
60 Pittsburgh 5-7 60 60
61 California 5-7 61 61
62 Wyoming 8-5 62 70
63 Minnesota 5-7 43 72
64 Mississippi 6-6 64 64
65 North Texas 9-5 65 65
66 Florida 4-7 57 66
67 UAB 8-5 67 72
68 Iowa St 8-5 68 68
69 Kentucky 7-6 69 69
70 Texas Tech 6-7 70 70
71 C Michigan 8-5 71 78
72 Vanderbilt 5-7 72 72
73 MTSU 7-6 73 73
74 Virginia 6-7 74 74
75 Tennessee 4-8 73 76
76 Duke 7-6 76 76
77 Southern Miss 8-5 76 81
78 Akron 7-7 78 83
79 N Illinois 8-5 77 79
80 Nebraska 4-8 80 80
81 Florida Intl 8-5 81 84
82 ULM 4-8 82 94
83 Louisiana Tech 7-6 83 83
84 W Michigan 6-6 80 85
85 UT San Antonio 6-5 84 93
86 Buffalo 6-6 86 86
87 Ohio 9-4 87 87
88 E Michigan 5-7 88 92
89 Arkansas St 7-5 89 89
90 Georgia Tech 5-6 90 90
91 North Carolina 3-9 91 91
92 Georgia St 7-5 92 92
93 Rutgers 4-8 93 93
94 Marshall 8-5 94 94
95 Appalachian St 9-4 95 95
96 Illinois 2-10 94 107
97 East Carolina 3-9 99 100
98 Tulane 5-7 98 98
99 Air Force 5-7 99 105
100 Bowling Green 2-10 89 102
101 Cincinnati 4-8 101 101
102 Connecticut 3-9 102 102
103 Kent 2-10 101 104
104 Tulsa 2-10 104 104
105 Miami OH 5-7 105 105
106 Colorado St 7-6 100 108
107 ULL 5-7 107 110
108 WKU 6-7 108 108
109 Nevada 3-9 107 118
110 Old Dominion 5-7 110 110
111 New Mexico St 7-6 108 113
112 Charlotte 1-11 112 112
113 Ball St 2-10 113 113
114 Utah St 6-7 112 117
115 Texas St 2-10 112 115
116 Coastal Car 3-9 116 116
117 Massachusetts 4-8 117 117
118 BYU 4-9 118 118
119 UNLV 5-7 119 119
120 New Mexico 3-9 120 120
121 Hawaii 3-9 121 121
122 San Jose St 2-11 122 122
123 Ga Southern 2-10 123 123
124 Idaho 4-8 124 124
125 South Alabama 4-8 125 125
126 Baylor 1-11 86 126
127 Kansas 1-11 127 127
128 Rice 1-11 111 129
129 Oregon St 1-11 107 129
130 UTEP 0-12 130 130
* W/L record can contain games versus non-FBS opponents
Games where lower rated team was victorious
Date Score
8/26/2017 Hawaii 38 : Massachusetts 35
9/9/2017 MTSU 30 : Syracuse 23
9/9/2017 Duke 41 : Northwestern 17
9/9/2017 Ball St 51 : UAB 31
9/16/2017 Texas Tech 52 : Arizona St 45
9/16/2017 Kentucky 23 : South Carolina 13
9/16/2017 Washington 48 : Fresno St 16
9/16/2017 Vanderbilt 14 : Kansas St 7
9/22/2017 Virginia 42 : Boise St 23
9/23/2017 Miami OH 31 : C Michigan 14
9/23/2017 Tulane 21 : Army 17
9/23/2017 Buffalo 34 : FL Atlantic 31
9/23/2017 Texas Tech 27 : Houston 24
9/23/2017 Georgia Tech 35 : Pittsburgh 17
9/23/2017 New Mexico 16 : Tulsa 13
9/30/2017 Florida St 26 : Wake Forest 19
9/30/2017 Texas A&M 24 : South Carolina 17
9/30/2017 New Mexico 56 : Air Force 38
10/7/2017 Iowa St 38 : Oklahoma 31
10/7/2017 Kentucky 40 : Missouri 34
10/11/2017 South Alabama 19 : Troy 8
10/13/2017 California 37 : Washington St 3
10/13/2017 Syracuse 27 : Clemson 24
10/14/2017 Connecticut 28 : Temple 24
10/14/2017 LSU 27 : Auburn 23
10/14/2017 Georgia St 47 : ULM 37
10/14/2017 Tulsa 45 : Houston 17
10/20/2017 Marshall 38 : MTSU 10
10/21/2017 South Alabama 33 : ULM 23
10/21/2017 Rutgers 14 : Purdue 12
10/21/2017 Miami OH 24 : Buffalo 14
10/21/2017 UCLA 31 : Oregon 14
10/21/2017 Georgia Tech 38 : Wake Forest 24
10/21/2017 Charlotte 25 : UAB 24
10/28/2017 Arizona 58 : Washington St 37
10/28/2017 UNLV 26 : Fresno St 16
10/28/2017 Massachusetts 30 : Appalachian St 27
10/28/2017 Iowa St 14 : TCU 7
10/28/2017 Nebraska 25 : Purdue 24
10/28/2017 Idaho 31 : ULM 23
10/28/2017 Northwestern 39 : Michigan St 31
11/4/2017 Rutgers 31 : Maryland 24
11/4/2017 Iowa 55 : Ohio St 24
11/4/2017 Cincinnati 17 : Tulane 16
11/7/2017 Miami OH 24 : Akron 14
11/8/2017 Ohio 38 : Toledo 10
11/9/2017 North Carolina 34 : Pittsburgh 31
11/11/2017 Tulane 31 : East Carolina 24
11/11/2017 UCLA 44 : Arizona St 37
11/11/2017 Georgia Tech 28 : Virginia Tech 22
11/11/2017 South Alabama 24 : Arkansas St 19
11/11/2017 Auburn 40 : Georgia 17
11/11/2017 Old Dominion 37 : Florida Intl 30
11/17/2017 WKU 41 : MTSU 38
11/18/2017 Purdue 24 : Iowa 15
11/18/2017 North Texas 52 : Army 49
11/18/2017 Kansas St 45 : Oklahoma St 40
11/18/2017 Tulane 20 : Houston 17
11/23/2017 Mississippi 31 : Mississippi St 28
11/24/2017 Pittsburgh 24 : Miami FL 14
11/24/2017 Texas Tech 27 : Texas 23
11/25/2017 Auburn 26 : Alabama 14
11/25/2017 Arkansas St 67 : ULM 50
11/25/2017 Washington 41 : Washington St 14
11/25/2017 Stanford 38 : Notre Dame 20
11/25/2017 San Jose St 20 : Wyoming 17
11/25/2017 Duke 31 : Wake Forest 23
11/25/2017 Ga Southern 34 : ULL 24
11/25/2017 Appalachian St 31 : Georgia St 10
11/25/2017 Fresno St 28 : Boise St 17
12/2/2017 Idaho 24 : Georgia St 10
12/20/2017 Louisiana Tech 51 : SMU 10
12/22/2017 Ohio 41 : UAB 6
12/23/2017 Appalachian St 34 : Toledo 0
12/30/2017 Iowa St 21 : Memphis 20