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Methodology

Ken Massey's College Football Ranking Comparisons:  Lots of other ranking to see here!

 

 

CURRENT RETRODICTION RATINGS  (Thru Games of: 12/1/2018)

Using these ratings, the lower rated team has beaten a higher rated team
in only 79 out of 720 FBS games (10.97%).
See games below.

Ranking Team W-L* Best
Possible
Worst
Possible
1 Alabama 13-0 1 2
2 Clemson 13-0 1 4
3 Georgia 11-2 3 5
4 Notre Dame 12-0 1 11
5 Texas A&M 8-4 5 5
6 Kentucky 9-3 6 7
7 UCF 12-0 1 19
8 Missouri 8-4 8 9
9 South Carolina 7-5 9 9
10 Florida 9-3 10 10
11 LSU 9-3 11 11
12 Vanderbilt 6-6 11 51
13 Mississippi St 8-4 13 13
14 Ohio St 12-1 14 15
15 West Virginia 8-3 15 27
16 Michigan 10-2 15 16
17 Northwestern 8-5 17 17
18 Michigan St 7-5 18 18
19 Penn St 9-3 19 19
20 Pittsburgh 7-6 20 23
21 Wisconsin 7-5 21 22
22 Oklahoma 12-1 22 22
23 Purdue 6-6 23 23
24 Georgia Tech 7-5 24 36
25 Syracuse 9-3 21 25
26 NC State 9-3 26 30
27 Iowa 8-4 24 32
28 Texas 9-4 28 28
29 TCU 6-6 29 35
30 Washington 10-3 30 31
31 Boston College 7-5 31 36
32 Washington St 10-2 32 33
33 Indiana 5-7 33 37
34 Utah 9-4 34 34
35 Stanford 8-4 35 45
36 Iowa St 8-4 36 36
37 Virginia Tech 6-6 37 37
38 Virginia 7-5 38 38
39 Duke 7-5 39 39
40 Miami FL 7-5 40 40
41 Florida St 5-7 41 41
42 Wake Forest 6-6 42 42
43 Fresno St 11-2 43 52
44 Army 9-2 40 53
45 Florida Intl 8-4 45 55
46 Oregon 8-4 46 46
47 Temple 8-4 47 47
48 Cincinnati 10-2 48 50
49 UAB 10-3 49 55
50 N Illinois 8-5 50 50
51 Ohio 8-4 51 53
52 Tennessee 5-7 52 52
53 San Diego St 7-5 53 62
54 Buffalo 10-3 54 54
55 Auburn 7-5 55 55
56 MTSU 8-5 56 56
57 Mississippi 5-7 56 59
58 Baylor 6-6 40 58
59 Kansas St 5-7 59 59
60 Texas Tech 5-7 60 60
61 Louisiana Tech 7-5 61 69
62 Oklahoma St 6-6 62 62
63 Arizona St 7-5 63 63
64 E Michigan 7-5 64 64
65 Boise St 10-3 65 65
66 UCLA 3-9 66 71
67 Ga Southern 9-3 67 67
68 Appalachian St 10-2 68 76
69 Utah St 10-2 66 84
70 North Texas 9-3 70 79
71 W Michigan 7-5 71 71
72 California 7-5 72 72
73 Memphis 8-5 73 73
74 Houston 8-4 74 74
75 Tulane 6-6 75 75
77 Troy 9-3 77 77
78 Toledo 7-5 65 78
79 Kansas 3-9 79 79
80 SMU 5-7 80 80
81 Nevada 7-5 81 81
82 Arkansas St 8-4 69 85
83 USC 5-7 83 83
84 Arizona 5-7 84 84
85 Hawaii 8-5 85 85
86 ULM 6-6 86 86
87 BYU 6-6 87 87
88 South Florida 7-5 88 88
89 Oregon St 2-10 85 89
90 Colorado 5-7 90 90
91 Wyoming 6-6 86 104
92 South Alabama 3-9 87 94
93 Nebraska 4-8 93 93
94 Maryland 5-7 94 94
95 Coastal Car 5-7 95 95
96 Illinois 4-8 95 100
97 Marshall 8-4 97 97
98 Louisville 2-10 43 103
99 Massachusetts 4-8 96 99
100 Charlotte 5-7 100 102
101 Minnesota 6-6 101 101
102 Rutgers 1-11 97 109
103 FL Atlantic 5-7 103 103
104 WKU 3-9 104 104
105 Air Force 5-7 104 105
106 Colorado St 3-9 106 108
107 Southern Miss 6-5 107 107
108 UT San Antonio 3-9 108 109
109 San Jose St 1-11 107 115
110 Texas St 3-9 109 112
111 East Carolina 3-9 89 116
112 Arkansas 2-10 107 124
113 New Mexico St 3-9 113 117
114 New Mexico 3-9 114 114
115 Miami OH 6-6 115 115
116 UNLV 4-8 116 116
117 North Carolina 2-9 117 117
118 Liberty 6-6 118 118
119 UTEP 1-11 117 119
120 Rice 2-11 120 120
121 Old Dominion 4-8 121 121
122 Ball St 4-8 122 122
123 Navy 3-9 123 123
124 Georgia St 2-10 124 124
125 Tulsa 3-9 125 125
126 Akron 4-8 126 126
127 Kent 2-10 127 127
128 Bowling Green 3-9 128 128
129 Connecticut 1-11 129 129
130 C Michigan 1-11 130 130
* W/L record can contain games versus non-FBS opponents
Games where lower rated team was victorious
Date Score
9/1/2018 BYU 28 : Arizona 23
9/1/2018 Maryland 34 : Texas 29
9/1/2018 Auburn 21 : Washington 16
9/8/2018 Duke 21 : Northwestern 7
9/8/2018 Coastal Car 47 : UAB 24
9/8/2018 Minnesota 21 : Fresno St 14
9/8/2018 South Florida 49 : Georgia Tech 38
9/8/2018 Navy 22 : Memphis 21
9/8/2018 Buffalo 36 : Temple 29
9/8/2018 E Michigan 20 : Purdue 19
9/8/2018 Arizona St 16 : Michigan St 13
9/15/2018 Akron 39 : Northwestern 34
9/15/2018 New Mexico 42 : New Mexico St 25
9/15/2018 BYU 24 : Wisconsin 21
9/21/2018 USC 39 : Washington St 36
9/22/2018 North Carolina 38 : Pittsburgh 35
9/22/2018 Old Dominion 49 : Virginia Tech 35
9/28/2018 Colorado 38 : UCLA 16
9/28/2018 Tulane 40 : Memphis 24
9/29/2018 Georgia St 46 : ULM 14
9/29/2018 Liberty 52 : New Mexico 43
10/6/2018 South Carolina 37 : Missouri 35
10/6/2018 W Michigan 27 : E Michigan 24
10/6/2018 Texas 48 : Oklahoma 45
10/6/2018 Arizona 24 : California 17
10/6/2018 Colorado 28 : Arizona St 21
10/11/2018 Texas Tech 17 : TCU 14
10/13/2018 BYU 49 : Hawaii 23
10/13/2018 Duke 28 : Georgia Tech 14
10/13/2018 Oregon 30 : Washington 27
10/13/2018 Liberty 22 : Troy 16
10/13/2018 Iowa St 30 : West Virginia 14
10/13/2018 LSU 36 : Georgia 16
10/20/2018 Old Dominion 37 : WKU 34
10/20/2018 Purdue 49 : Ohio St 20
10/20/2018 SMU 27 : Tulane 23
10/25/2018 Toledo 51 : W Michigan 24
10/26/2018 Minnesota 38 : Indiana 31
10/27/2018 Nevada 28 : San Diego St 24
10/27/2018 Mississippi St 28 : Texas A&M 13
10/27/2018 Kansas 27 : TCU 26
10/27/2018 Arizona 44 : Oregon 15
10/27/2018 California 12 : Washington 10
10/27/2018 Oklahoma St 38 : Texas 35
11/3/2018 Arizona St 38 : Utah 20
11/3/2018 ULM 44 : Ga Southern 25
11/3/2018 FL Atlantic 49 : Florida Intl 14
11/3/2018 Auburn 28 : Texas A&M 24
11/3/2018 Southern Miss 26 : Marshall 24
11/3/2018 SMU 45 : Houston 31
11/7/2018 Miami OH 30 : Ohio 28
11/8/2018 Wake Forest 27 : NC State 23
11/9/2018 Boise St 24 : Fresno St 17
11/10/2018 Florida 35 : South Carolina 31
11/10/2018 Old Dominion 34 : North Texas 31
11/10/2018 UNLV 27 : San Diego St 24
11/10/2018 Troy 35 : Ga Southern 21
11/10/2018 Tennessee 24 : Kentucky 7
11/10/2018 Minnesota 41 : Purdue 10
11/13/2018 Ball St 42 : W Michigan 41
11/14/2018 Miami OH 13 : N Illinois 7
11/17/2018 Bowling Green 21 : Akron 6
11/17/2018 Southern Miss 21 : Louisiana Tech 20
11/17/2018 Oklahoma St 45 : West Virginia 41
11/17/2018 Nebraska 9 : Michigan St 6
11/17/2018 Miami FL 38 : Virginia Tech 14
11/17/2018 Florida St 22 : Boston College 21
11/20/2018 W Michigan 28 : N Illinois 21
11/23/2018 Oklahoma 59 : West Virginia 56
11/24/2018 Hawaii 31 : San Diego St 30
11/24/2018 MTSU 27 : UAB 3
11/24/2018 Minnesota 37 : Wisconsin 15
11/24/2018 WKU 30 : Louisiana Tech 15
11/24/2018 Miami FL 24 : Pittsburgh 3
11/24/2018 Marshall 28 : Florida Intl 25
11/24/2018 Liberty 28 : New Mexico St 21
11/24/2018 Tulsa 27 : SMU 24
11/24/2018 UNLV 34 : Nevada 29
11/24/2018 Wake Forest 59 : Duke 7