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Methodology

Ken Massey's College Football Ranking Comparisons:  Lots of other ranking to see here!
 

 

CURRENT RETRODICTION RATINGS  (Thru Games of: 1/7/2019)

Using these ratings, the lower rated team has beaten a higher rated team
in only 85 out of 759 FBS games (11.2%).
 See games below.

Ranking Team W-L* Best
Possible		 Worst
Possible
1 Clemson 15-0 1 1
2 Alabama 14-1 2 4
3 Notre Dame 12-1 2 9
4 Ohio St 13-1 4 9
5 Texas A&M 9-4 5 7
6 Texas 10-4 6 6
7 Georgia 11-3 7 7
8 Kentucky 10-3 8 8
9 Florida 10-3 9 9
10 Michigan 10-3 10 11
11 Washington 10-4 11 13
12 Northwestern 9-5 12 14
13 South Carolina 7-6 13 17
14 Washington St 11-2 14 14
15 Utah 9-5 15 15
16 Stanford 9-4 16 16
17 Oregon 9-4 17 17
18 Missouri 8-5 18 18
19 Minnesota 7-6 19 19
20 Fresno St 12-2 20 24
21 LSU 10-3 21 21
22 UCF 12-1 22 27
23 Vanderbilt 6-7 23 33
24 Oklahoma 12-2 24 24
25 Arizona St 7-6 25 25
26 Michigan St 7-6 26 26
27 Penn St 9-4 27 27
28 Pittsburgh 7-7 28 29
29 Utah St 11-2 33 67
30 Syracuse 10-3 29 34
31 Wisconsin 8-5 31 35
32 Boise St 10-3 32 32
33 UAB 11-3 33 45
34 Nevada 8-5 34 69
35 NC State 9-4 35 40
36 Purdue 6-7 36 36
37 Iowa 9-4 37 37
38 Indiana 5-7 38 40
39 TCU 7-6 39 42
40 Duke 8-5 40 40
41 Virginia 8-5 41 41
42 Cincinnati 11-2 42 48
43 Iowa St 8-5 40 50
44 Mississippi St 8-5 44 44
45 Boston College 7-5 45 47
46 Louisiana Tech 8-5 46 72
47 Ga Southern 10-3 47 58
48 Miami FL 7-6 48 48
49 Virginia Tech 6-7 49 49
50 UCLA 3-9 50 51
51 West Virginia 8-4 51 51
52 California 7-6 52 52
53 Tennessee 5-7 53 53
54 Florida St 5-7 54 54
55 Auburn 8-5 55 55
56 Wake Forest 7-6 56 56
57 Mississippi 5-7 56 70
58 Georgia Tech 7-6 58 58
59 Appalachian St 11-2 48 63
60 N Illinois 8-6 60 66
61 Baylor 7-6 61 61
62 Army 11-2 41 68
63 USC 5-7 63 63
64 Troy 10-3 64 64
65 Kansas St 5-7 62 71
67 Ohio 9-4 67 68
68 BYU 7-6 68 68
69 Buffalo 10-4 68 74
70 Arkansas St 8-5 60 70
71 ULM 6-6 71 71
72 Texas Tech 5-7 72 72
73 North Texas 9-4 73 75
74 Hawaii 8-6 69 81
75 Temple 8-5 75 75
76 Southern Miss 6-5 76 76
77 SMU 5-7 77 77
78 Houston 8-5 78 79
79 Oklahoma St 7-6 79 79
80 Tulane 7-6 79 88
81 MTSU 8-6 81 81
82 San Diego St 7-6 82 82
83 Wyoming 6-6 75 86
84 Kansas 3-9 84 84
85 Marshall 9-4 82 88
86 Arizona 5-7 86 86
87 Air Force 5-7 87 92
88 Oregon St 2-10 87 89
89 South Florida 7-6 89 89
90 Colorado 5-7 90 90
91 W Michigan 7-6 91 91
92 Louisville 2-10 59 120
93 Navy 3-10 88 95
94 E Michigan 7-6 94 94
95 Florida Intl 9-4 95 95
96 Memphis 8-6 96 96
97 South Alabama 3-9 97 102
98 Nebraska 4-8 98 98
99 Maryland 5-7 99 99
100 East Carolina 3-9 97 119
101 Toledo 7-6 101 101
102 Illinois 4-8 102 102
103 Coastal Car 5-7 103 103
104 Rutgers 1-11 103 113
105 Massachusetts 4-8 104 106
106 Miami OH 6-6 106 106
107 Charlotte 5-7 107 107
108 UT San Antonio 3-9 96 113
109 Colorado St 3-9 91 109
110 Arkansas 2-10 110 116
111 San Jose St 1-11 110 115
112 Liberty 6-6 112 112
113 FL Atlantic 5-7 113 113
114 Texas St 3-9 109 114
115 New Mexico St 3-9 115 115
116 UNLV 4-8 116 116
117 Tulsa 3-9 117 117
118 New Mexico 3-9 113 118
119 UTEP 1-11 122 122
120 Old Dominion 4-8 120 120
121 WKU 3-9 121 121
122 North Carolina 2-9 122 122
123 Rice 2-11 123 123
124 Ball St 4-8 124 124
125 Akron 4-8 125 125
126 Kent 2-10 126 126
127 Bowling Green 3-9 127 127
128 Georgia St 2-10 128 128
129 Connecticut 1-11 118 129
130 C Michigan 1-11 130 130
* W/L record can contain games versus non-FBS opponents
Games where lower rated team was victorious
Date Score
9/1/2018 Maryland 34 : Texas 29
9/1/2018 Auburn 21 : Washington 16
9/8/2018 FL Atlantic 33 : Air Force 27
9/8/2018 South Florida 49 : Georgia Tech 38
9/8/2018 E Michigan 20 : Purdue 19
9/8/2018 Duke 21 : Northwestern 7
9/8/2018 Coastal Car 47 : UAB 24
9/15/2018 San Diego St 28 : Arizona St 21
9/15/2018 Akron 39 : Northwestern 34
9/15/2018 BYU 24 : Wisconsin 21
9/15/2018 New Mexico 42 : New Mexico St 25
9/15/2018 Oklahoma St 44 : Boise St 21
9/21/2018 USC 39 : Washington St 36
9/22/2018 Toledo 63 : Nevada 44
9/22/2018 Maryland 42 : Minnesota 13
9/22/2018 Old Dominion 49 : Virginia Tech 35
9/22/2018 North Carolina 38 : Pittsburgh 35
9/28/2018 Colorado 38 : UCLA 16
9/29/2018 Georgia St 46 : ULM 14
9/29/2018 Virginia Tech 31 : Duke 14
10/6/2018 San Diego St 19 : Boise St 13
10/6/2018 Iowa 48 : Minnesota 31
10/6/2018 New Mexico St 49 : Liberty 41
10/6/2018 New Mexico 50 : UNLV 14
10/6/2018 Colorado 28 : Arizona St 21
10/6/2018 Arizona 24 : California 17
10/11/2018 Texas Tech 17 : TCU 14
10/13/2018 Florida Intl 24 : MTSU 21
10/13/2018 Liberty 22 : Troy 16
10/13/2018 LSU 36 : Georgia 16
10/13/2018 Oregon 30 : Washington 27
10/20/2018 Nebraska 53 : Minnesota 28
10/20/2018 Temple 24 : Cincinnati 17
10/20/2018 Purdue 49 : Ohio St 20
10/20/2018 Virginia 28 : Duke 14
10/25/2018 Toledo 51 : W Michigan 24
10/25/2018 Georgia Tech 49 : Virginia Tech 28
10/27/2018 Oklahoma St 38 : Texas 35
10/27/2018 Arizona 44 : Oregon 15
10/27/2018 California 12 : Washington 10
10/27/2018 Mississippi St 28 : Texas A&M 13
10/27/2018 Kansas 27 : TCU 26
10/27/2018 Charlotte 20 : Southern Miss 17
11/3/2018 Auburn 28 : Texas A&M 24
11/3/2018 FL Atlantic 49 : Florida Intl 14
11/3/2018 Illinois 55 : Minnesota 31
11/3/2018 Arizona St 38 : Utah 20
11/3/2018 ULM 44 : Ga Southern 25
11/3/2018 West Virginia 42 : Texas 41
11/3/2018 Missouri 38 : Florida 17
11/7/2018 Miami OH 30 : Ohio 28
11/8/2018 Wake Forest 27 : NC State 23
11/9/2018 Boise St 24 : Fresno St 17
11/10/2018 West Virginia 47 : TCU 10
11/10/2018 UNLV 27 : San Diego St 24
11/10/2018 Troy 35 : Ga Southern 21
11/10/2018 Tennessee 24 : Kentucky 7
11/10/2018 Old Dominion 34 : North Texas 31
11/10/2018 Georgia Tech 27 : Miami FL 21
11/13/2018 Ball St 42 : W Michigan 41
11/14/2018 Miami OH 13 : N Illinois 7
11/16/2018 Memphis 28 : SMU 18
11/17/2018 Bowling Green 21 : Akron 6
11/17/2018 WKU 40 : UTEP 16
11/17/2018 Florida St 22 : Boston College 21
11/17/2018 Southern Miss 21 : Louisiana Tech 20
11/17/2018 Oklahoma St 45 : West Virginia 41
11/17/2018 Nebraska 9 : Michigan St 6
11/17/2018 Georgia Tech 30 : Virginia 27
11/20/2018 W Michigan 28 : N Illinois 21
11/23/2018 Memphis 52 : Houston 31
11/23/2018 Virginia Tech 34 : Virginia 31
11/24/2018 UNLV 34 : Nevada 29
11/24/2018 MTSU 27 : UAB 3
11/24/2018 Tulsa 27 : SMU 24
11/24/2018 WKU 30 : Louisiana Tech 15
11/24/2018 Boise St 33 : Utah St 24
11/24/2018 Miami FL 24 : Pittsburgh 3
11/24/2018 Wake Forest 59 : Duke 7
11/24/2018 Rice 27 : Old Dominion 13
12/1/2018 Oklahoma 39 : Texas 27
12/27/2018 Baylor 45 : Vanderbilt 38
12/28/2018 Auburn 63 : Purdue 14
12/29/2018 Virginia 28 : South Carolina 0
12/31/2018 Oklahoma St 38 : Missouri 33