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Methodology

Ken Massey's College Football Ranking Comparisons :  Lots of other ranking to see here!

 

 

CURRENT RETRODICTION RATINGS  (Thru Games of: 1/8/2024)

Using these ratings, the lower rated team has beaten a higher rated team
in only 99 out of 792 FBS games (12.5%).
 See games below.

Ranking Team W-L* Best
Possible		 Worst
Possible
1 Michigan 15-0 1 2
2 Texas 12-2 2 9
3 Ohio St 11-2 3 6
4 Florida St 13-1 4 5
5 Washington 14-1 5 5
6 Louisville 10-4 6 14
7 Penn St 10-3 7 8
8 Oregon 12-2 6 15
9 Iowa 10-4 9 21
10 Alabama 12-2 3 10
11 Georgia 13-1 11 11
12 Mississippi 11-2 12 12
13 LSU 10-3 13 13
14 Missouri 11-2 14 14
15 Notre Dame 10-3 15 15
16 USC 8-5 16 16
17 Liberty 13-1 9 44
18 Oklahoma St 10-4 18 29
19 Duke 8-5 19 19
20 NC State 9-4 20 25
21 Fresno St 9-4 21 29
22 Northwestern 8-5 22 26
23 Arizona 10-3 23 24
24 Tennessee 9-4 24 24
25 Oregon St 8-5 25 26
26 Clemson 9-4 26 26
27 Utah 8-5 27 27
28 Georgia Tech 7-6 28 30
29 California 6-7 29 29
30 Arizona St 3-9 30 37
31 North Carolina 8-5 31 31
32 Kansas St 9-4 32 32
33 Kansas 9-4 33 33
34 Oklahoma 10-3 34 34
35 Miami FL 7-6 35 35
36 SMU 11-3 36 43
37 Syracuse 6-7 37 45
38 UCLA 8-5 38 38
39 Stanford 3-9 39 39
40 Washington St 5-7 40 40
41 Texas A&M 7-6 36 47
42 West Virginia 9-4 42 42
43 Wisconsin 7-6 43 45
44 Tulane 11-3 44 53
45 New Mexico St 10-5 45 47
46 Purdue 4-8 46 46
47 Illinois 5-7 47 48
48 Auburn 6-7 48 48
49 Toledo 11-3 49 59
50 Maryland 8-5 50 50
51 Rutgers 7-6 51 51
52 Minnesota 6-7 52 52
53 Michigan St 4-8 53 68
54 Memphis 10-3 45 54
55 Boise St 8-6 55 62
56 James Madison 11-2 56 56
57 Troy 11-3 57 71
58 Virginia Tech 7-6 58 58
59 UT San Antonio 9-4 59 78
60 Miami OH 11-3 60 60
61 Colorado 4-8 61 61
62 Ohio 10-3 62 76
63 UNLV 9-5 63 63
64 Air Force 9-4 64 64
65 Wake Forest 4-8 59 69
66 Coastal Car 8-5 66 69
67 South Carolina 5-7 67 72
68 Wyoming 9-4 68 68
69 Nebraska 5-7 69 69
70 Old Dominion 6-7 70 71
71 Texas Tech 7-6 71 71
72 Appalachian St 9-5 72 72
73 Jacksonville St 9-4 68 75
74 Georgia St 7-6 74 74
75 Kentucky 7-6 75 75
76 WKU 8-5 76 76
77 Iowa St 7-6 77 77
78 San Jose St 7-6 78 78
79 Rice 6-7 79 86
80 Bowling Green 7-6 80 80
81 Louisiana 6-7 81 92
82 TCU 5-7 82 82
83 BYU 5-7 83 83
84 Mississippi St 5-7 84 84
85 Marshall 6-7 85 85
86 South Florida 7-6 86 86
87 FL Atlantic 4-8 87 87
88 Arkansas 4-8 85 88
89 Florida 5-7 89 89
90 Navy 5-7 90 90
91 Charlotte 3-9 91 94
92 North Texas 5-7 92 94
93 Texas St 8-5 93 93
94 Ga Southern 6-7 94 94
95 Tulsa 4-8 93 98
96 Utah St 6-7 79 102
97 Baylor 3-9 97 99
98 Buffalo 3-9 98 110
99 N Illinois 7-6 99 99
100 UCF 6-7 100 100
101 W Michigan 4-8 100 108
102 UAB 4-8 102 102
103 Colorado St 5-7 103 103
104 Cincinnati 3-9 101 105
105 Nevada 2-10 105 114
106 Houston 4-8 106 106
107 Pittsburgh 3-9 107 107
108 MTSU 4-8 108 112
109 Ball St 4-8 109 109
110 East Carolina 2-10 110 110
111 C Michigan 5-7 111 111
112 E Michigan 6-7 112 112
113 Louisiana Tech 3-9 113 118
114 Indiana 3-9 114 114
115 New Mexico 4-8 115 115
116 Vanderbilt 2-10 90 124
117 South Alabama 7-6 117 117
118 Arkansas St 6-7 118 118
119 UTEP 3-9 114 121
120 Temple 3-9 120 120
121 Southern Miss 3-9 121 121
122 Florida Intl 4-8 122 122
123 San Diego St 4-8 123 123
124 Boston College 7-6 124 124
125 Hawaii 5-8 125 125
126 ULM 2-10 122 130
127 Virginia 3-9 127 127
128 Sam Houston St 3-9 128 128
129 Connecticut 3-9 129 129
130 Massachusetts 3-9 130 130
131 Army 6-6 131 131
132 Akron 2-10 121 132
133 Kent 1-11 133 133
* W/L record can contain games versus non-FBS opponents
Games where lower rated team was victorious
Date Score
8/26/2023 San Diego St 20 : Ohio 13
8/26/2023 Massachusetts 41 : New Mexico St 30
9/2/2023 Houston 17 : UT San Antonio 14
9/3/2023 Rutgers 24 : Northwestern 7
9/9/2023 Auburn 14 : California 10
9/9/2023 Mississippi St 31 : Arizona 24
9/9/2023 Florida Intl 46 : North Texas 39
9/9/2023 UCF 18 : Boise St 16
9/15/2023 Army 37 : UT San Antonio 29
9/16/2023 South Alabama 33 : Oklahoma St 7
9/16/2023 Florida 29 : Tennessee 16
9/21/2023 Georgia St 30 : Coastal Car 17
9/23/2023 South Florida 42 : Rice 29
9/23/2023 Washington St 38 : Oregon St 35
9/23/2023 Hawaii 20 : New Mexico St 17
9/23/2023 Marshall 24 : Virginia Tech 17
9/23/2023 Iowa St 34 : Oklahoma St 27
9/23/2023 TCU 34 : SMU 17
9/30/2023 Bowling Green 38 : Georgia Tech 27
9/30/2023 Marshall 41 : Old Dominion 35
9/30/2023 Ga Southern 38 : Coastal Car 28
10/6/2023 Nebraska 20 : Illinois 7
10/7/2023 Connecticut 38 : Rice 31
10/7/2023 Wyoming 24 : Fresno St 19
10/7/2023 E Michigan 24 : Ball St 10
10/7/2023 Colorado 27 : Arizona St 24
10/7/2023 UAB 56 : South Florida 35
10/7/2023 Oklahoma 34 : Texas 30
10/12/2023 Houston 41 : West Virginia 39
10/14/2023 Florida 41 : South Carolina 39
10/14/2023 Colorado St 31 : Boise St 30
10/14/2023 FL Atlantic 56 : South Florida 14
10/14/2023 N Illinois 23 : Ohio 13
10/14/2023 Pittsburgh 38 : Louisville 21
10/21/2023 Boston College 38 : Georgia Tech 23
10/21/2023 Nebraska 17 : Northwestern 9
10/21/2023 BYU 27 : Texas Tech 14
10/21/2023 Minnesota 12 : Iowa 10
10/21/2023 Miami FL 28 : Clemson 20
10/21/2023 Virginia 31 : North Carolina 27
10/21/2023 Utah 34 : USC 32
10/26/2023 Ga Southern 44 : Georgia St 27
10/26/2023 Virginia Tech 38 : Syracuse 10
10/28/2023 Nebraska 31 : Purdue 14
10/31/2023 C Michigan 37 : N Illinois 31
11/3/2023 Boston College 17 : Syracuse 10
11/4/2023 Army 23 : Air Force 3
11/4/2023 Hawaii 27 : Nevada 14
11/4/2023 Arkansas St 37 : Louisiana 17
11/4/2023 Indiana 20 : Wisconsin 14
11/4/2023 Houston 25 : Baylor 24
11/4/2023 UAB 45 : FL Atlantic 42
11/4/2023 Temple 32 : Navy 18
11/4/2023 Clemson 31 : Notre Dame 23
11/7/2023 Ball St 20 : N Illinois 17
11/9/2023 Southern Miss 34 : Louisiana 31
11/11/2023 Hawaii 27 : Air Force 13
11/11/2023 North Carolina 47 : Duke 45
11/11/2023 Texas Tech 16 : Kansas 13
11/11/2023 East Carolina 22 : FL Atlantic 7
11/11/2023 UCF 45 : Oklahoma St 3
11/11/2023 San Jose St 42 : Fresno St 18
11/11/2023 Sam Houston St 42 : Louisiana Tech 27
11/18/2023 Appalachian St 26 : James Madison 23
11/18/2023 Arkansas St 77 : Texas St 31
11/18/2023 New Mexico 25 : Fresno St 17
11/18/2023 Army 28 : Coastal Car 21
11/18/2023 Virginia 30 : Duke 27
11/18/2023 South Alabama 28 : Marshall 0
11/18/2023 UCLA 38 : USC 20
11/21/2023 E Michigan 24 : Buffalo 11
11/25/2023 Sam Houston St 23 : MTSU 20
11/25/2023 San Diego St 33 : Fresno St 18
11/25/2023 Iowa St 42 : Kansas St 35
11/25/2023 San Jose St 37 : UNLV 31
11/25/2023 Kentucky 38 : Louisville 31
11/25/2023 Hawaii 27 : Colorado St 24
12/2/2023 Miami OH 23 : Toledo 14
12/9/2023 Army 17 : Navy 11
12/16/2023 Appalachian St 13 : Miami OH 9
12/16/2023 Texas Tech 34 : California 14
12/18/2023 WKU 38 : Old Dominion 35
12/21/2023 South Florida 45 : Syracuse 0
12/23/2023 South Alabama 59 : E Michigan 10
12/23/2023 Air Force 31 : James Madison 21
12/26/2023 Texas St 45 : Rice 21
12/27/2023 West Virginia 30 : North Carolina 10
12/27/2023 Virginia Tech 41 : Tulane 20
12/27/2023 USC 42 : Louisville 28
12/28/2023 Boston College 23 : SMU 14
12/28/2023 Rutgers 31 : Miami FL 24
12/28/2023 Kansas St 28 : NC State 19
12/29/2023 Missouri 14 : Ohio St 3
12/30/2023 Mississippi 38 : Penn St 25
12/30/2023 Georgia 63 : Florida St 3
12/30/2023 Wyoming 16 : Toledo 15
12/30/2023 Maryland 31 : Auburn 13
1/1/2024 Washington 37 : Texas 31
1/1/2024 Tennessee 35 : Iowa 0