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Methodology

Ken Massey's College Football Ranking Comparisons :  Lots of other ranking to see here!

 

 

CURRENT RETRODICTION RATINGS  (Thru Games of: 11/5/2024)

Using these ratings, the lower rated team has beaten a higher rated team
in only 38 out of 505 FBS games (7.52%).
 See games below.

Ranking Team W-L* Best
Possible		 Worst
Possible
1 Oregon 9-0 1 1
2 Ohio St 7-1 2 5
3 Indiana 9-0 1 39
4 Miami FL 9-0 1 11
5 BYU 8-0 1 7
6 Penn St 7-1 3 43
7 Boise St 7-1 2 9
8 SMU 8-1 6 8
9 Pittsburgh 7-1 9 25
10 Washington St 7-1 8 30
11 Notre Dame 7-1 11 11
12 Louisville 6-3 12 22
13 Alabama 6-2 13 14
14 Army 8-0 1 89
15 Georgia 7-1 14 15
16 Texas 7-1 16 18
17 Texas A&M 7-2 17 17
18 Missouri 6-2 18 18
19 Vanderbilt 6-3 19 19
20 LSU 6-2 20 20
21 Mississippi 7-2 21 21
22 South Carolina 5-3 22 22
23 Clemson 6-2 16 64
24 Arkansas 5-4 24 24
25 Tennessee 7-1 25 25
26 Syracuse 6-2 26 26
27 UNLV 6-2 27 40
28 Oklahoma 5-4 26 33
29 Kansas St 7-2 29 29
30 Colorado 6-2 30 32
31 Texas Tech 6-3 31 31
32 Iowa St 7-1 32 32
33 Baylor 5-4 33 33
34 Tulane 7-2 30 34
35 Louisiana 7-1 35 65
36 Cincinnati 5-3 32 37
37 Florida 4-4 26 37
38 UCF 4-5 38 44
39 Iowa 6-3 39 39
40 Washington 5-4 40 41
41 Houston 4-5 41 41
42 Michigan 5-4 42 42
43 Minnesota 6-3 43 43
44 Illinois 6-3 44 44
45 TCU 5-4 45 45
46 UCLA 3-5 44 46
47 Nebraska 5-4 47 47
48 West Virginia 4-4 33 52
49 USC 4-5 49 49
50 Arizona St 6-2 37 52
51 Wisconsin 5-4 50 51
52 Rutgers 4-4 52 52
53 Kansas 2-6 53 53
54 Virginia Tech 5-4 53 57
55 Arizona 3-6 49 55
56 Utah 4-4 56 56
57 Oklahoma St 3-6 57 57
58 Georgia Tech 5-4 55 58
59 Duke 6-3 59 61
60 Boston College 4-4 60 60
61 Michigan St 4-5 61 61
62 North Carolina 5-4 62 62
63 Northwestern 4-5 60 63
64 Maryland 4-4 64 64
65 Virginia 4-4 65 65
66 Wake Forest 4-4 66 66
67 NC State 5-4 67 71
68 Navy 6-2 68 68
69 Memphis 7-2 69 70
70 Ga Southern 6-3 70 72
71 Florida St 1-8 70 71
72 California 4-4 72 73
73 Marshall 5-3 71 79
74 Auburn 3-6 73 74
75 Kentucky 3-6 75 75
76 WKU 6-2 61 76
77 Sam Houston St 7-2 77 82
78 North Texas 5-3 70 85
79 Connecticut 6-3 67 87
80 ULM 5-3 80 80
81 James Madison 6-2 81 81
82 Charlotte 3-6 82 89
83 Texas St 4-4 83 84
84 Ohio 5-3 84 85
85 Arkansas St 5-3 84 85
86 South Alabama 4-5 86 86
87 W Michigan 5-3 74 87
88 Buffalo 5-4 88 88
89 Toledo 6-3 89 90
90 Rice 3-6 90 90
91 Miami OH 5-4 91 91
92 Appalachian St 4-4 87 94
93 Troy 2-7 93 93
94 Coastal Car 4-4 94 94
95 Old Dominion 4-5 95 95
96 Stanford 2-7 96 96
97 N Illinois 4-4 97 97
98 Bowling Green 5-4 98 98
99 Akron 2-7 99 99
100 E Michigan 5-4 100 100
101 C Michigan 3-6 101 102
102 Jacksonville St 5-3 101 103
103 Ball St 3-6 103 103
104 Liberty 5-2 103 104
105 Florida Intl 3-6 105 105
106 East Carolina 4-4 106 106
107 Georgia St 2-6 107 107
108 Oregon St 4-4 108 108
109 Colorado St 6-3 109 112
110 San Diego St 3-5 109 110
111 Hawaii 4-5 111 111
112 Fresno St 5-4 112 112
113 San Jose St 5-3 113 113
114 Nevada 3-7 114 114
115 South Florida 4-4 70 116
116 Temple 2-6 107 117
117 UAB 2-6 116 117
118 Tulsa 3-6 118 118
119 UT San Antonio 4-5 119 119
120 FL Atlantic 2-6 120 120
121 Mississippi St 2-7 90 131
122 Louisiana Tech 3-5 122 122
123 MTSU 3-6 123 123
124 UTEP 1-8 124 124
125 New Mexico 3-6 125 125
126 Utah St 2-6 126 126
127 Wyoming 2-7 127 127
128 New Mexico St 2-6 128 128
129 Purdue 1-7 109 129
130 Southern Miss 1-7 116 130
131 Air Force 1-7 131 131
132 Massachusetts 2-7 122 132
133 Kent 0-8 104 133
* W/L record can contain games versus non-FBS opponents
Games where lower rated team was victorious
Date Score
8/29/2024 North Carolina 19 : Minnesota 17
8/31/2024 Nevada 28 : Troy 26
9/1/2024 USC 27 : LSU 20
9/7/2024 Oklahoma St 39 : Arkansas 31
9/7/2024 Utah 23 : Baylor 12
9/7/2024 Florida Intl 52 : C Michigan 16
9/7/2024 Nebraska 28 : Colorado 10
9/7/2024 East Carolina 20 : Old Dominion 14
9/7/2024 N Illinois 16 : Notre Dame 14
9/14/2024 Georgia St 36 : Vanderbilt 32
9/14/2024 FL Atlantic 38 : Florida Intl 20
9/20/2024 Stanford 26 : Syracuse 24
9/21/2024 James Madison 70 : North Carolina 50
9/27/2024 Rutgers 21 : Washington 18
9/28/2024 Kentucky 20 : Mississippi 17
10/5/2024 Virginia 24 : Boston College 14
10/5/2024 Vanderbilt 40 : Alabama 35
10/12/2024 Nevada 42 : Oregon St 37
10/15/2024 New Mexico St 33 : Louisiana Tech 30
10/16/2024 UTEP 30 : Florida Intl 21
10/19/2024 Michigan St 32 : Iowa 20
10/19/2024 Tennessee 24 : Alabama 17
10/19/2024 Maryland 29 : USC 28
10/19/2024 Baylor 59 : Texas Tech 35
10/19/2024 Kansas 42 : Houston 14
10/19/2024 Miami OH 30 : Ohio 20
10/19/2024 Old Dominion 24 : Texas St 14
10/19/2024 Illinois 21 : Michigan 7
10/24/2024 Old Dominion 47 : Ga Southern 19
10/26/2024 Ball St 25 : N Illinois 23
10/26/2024 TCU 35 : Texas Tech 34
10/26/2024 Bowling Green 41 : Toledo 26
10/26/2024 South Alabama 46 : ULM 17
11/2/2024 UT San Antonio 44 : Memphis 36
11/2/2024 South Carolina 44 : Texas A&M 20
11/2/2024 Rice 24 : Navy 10
11/2/2024 Wyoming 49 : New Mexico 45
11/2/2024 Houston 24 : Kansas St 19