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Methodology

Ken Massey's College Football Ranking Comparisons :  Lots of other ranking to see here!

 

 

CURRENT RETRODICTION RATINGS  (Thru Games of: 1/1/2021)

Using these ratings, the lower rated team has beaten a higher rated team
in only 161 out of 529 FBS games (30.43%).
See games below.

Ranking Team W-L* Best
Possible
Worst
Possible
1 SMU 7-3 1 5
2 Clemson 10-2 2 2
3 Miami FL 8-3 3 8
4 BYU 11-1 6 13
5 Coastal Car 11-1 5 5
6 Memphis 8-3 6 13
7 Notre Dame 10-2 7 7
8 Alabama 12-0 1 8
9 Florida St 3-6 9 9
10 North Carolina 8-3 10 10
11 Virginia Tech 5-6 11 14
12 Louisiana 10-1 6 28
13 Georgia 8-2 13 23
14 UCF 6-4 14 15
15 Boston College 6-5 15 15
16 Georgia Tech 3-7 16 16
17 Marshall 7-3 17 42
18 NC State 8-3 18 18
19 Texas A&M 8-1 9 22
20 Oklahoma St 8-3 20 20
21 Air Force 3-3 21 24
22 Tulsa 6-3 22 22
23 Florida 8-4 23 23
24 South Carolina 2-8 24 25
25 Navy 3-7 25 38
26 Auburn 6-5 26 26
27 Kentucky 4-6 27 27
28 Tennessee 3-7 28 28
29 Arkansas St 4-7 29 40
30 Pittsburgh 6-5 30 30
31 Liberty 10-1 31 31
32 Arkansas 3-7 32 32
33 UAB 6-3 33 33
34 Mississippi 4-5 34 34
35 Duke 2-9 35 35
36 Syracuse 1-10 36 36
37 Cincinnati 9-1 37 37
38 Houston 3-5 38 38
39 Tulane 6-6 39 39
40 Iowa St 8-3 40 40
41 Kansas St 4-6 41 48
42 Wake Forest 4-5 42 42
43 Louisiana Tech 5-5 43 43
44 Virginia 5-5 44 44
45 South Alabama 4-7 45 45
46 Army 9-3 46 46
47 Appalachian St 9-3 18 47
48 FL Atlantic 5-4 48 51
49 Oklahoma 9-2 49 49
50 TCU 6-4 50 50
51 Troy 5-6 51 51
52 UT San Antonio 7-5 52 52
53 Charlotte 2-4 53 60
54 Louisville 4-7 54 54
55 Southern Miss 3-7 55 55
56 Texas 7-3 56 56
57 Ga Southern 8-5 57 57
58 Georgia St 6-4 58 58
59 Mississippi St 4-7 59 59
60 Missouri 5-5 60 60
61 North Texas 4-6 56 66
62 West Virginia 6-4 62 62
63 WKU 5-7 63 63
64 Baylor 2-7 64 64
65 East Carolina 3-6 65 65
66 LSU 5-5 66 66
67 MTSU 3-6 67 67
68 Temple 1-6 66 114
69 Texas St 2-10 69 69
70 UTEP 3-5 62 119
71 Akron 1-5 71 75
72 Arizona 0-5 72 125
73 Arizona St 2-2 73 73
74 Ball St 7-1 74 76
75 Boise St 5-2 75 75
76 Bowling Green 0-5 119 125
77 Buffalo 6-1 77 77
78 C Michigan 3-3 78 82
79 California 1-3 79 106
80 Colorado 4-2 80 80
81 Colorado St 1-3 114 129
83 E Michigan 2-4 83 97
84 Florida Intl 0-5 68 125
85 Fresno St 3-3 85 85
86 Hawaii 5-4 86 86
87 Illinois 2-6 87 98
88 Indiana 6-1 88 91
89 Iowa 6-2 89 89
90 Kansas 0-9 118 125
91 Kent 3-1 91 91
92 Maryland 2-3 92 96
93 Massachusetts 0-4 58 125
94 Miami OH 2-1 94 94
95 Michigan 2-4 95 96
96 Michigan St 2-5 96 96
97 Minnesota 3-4 97 97
98 N Illinois 0-6 98 125
99 Nebraska 3-5 106 108
100 Nevada 7-2 100 100
101 New Mexico 2-5 101 101
103 Northwestern 7-2 103 103
104 Ohio 2-1 104 104
105 Ohio St 7-0 1 105
107 Oregon 4-2 109 115
108 Oregon St 2-5 108 108
109 Penn St 4-5 109 109
110 Purdue 2-4 110 110
111 Rice 2-3 111 111
112 Rutgers 3-6 112 112
113 San Diego St 4-4 113 113
114 San Jose St 7-1 114 114
115 South Florida 1-8 69 125
116 Stanford 4-2 116 116
117 Texas Tech 4-6 57 117
118 Toledo 4-2 118 118
119 UCLA 3-4 119 119
120 ULM 0-10 71 125
121 UNLV 0-6 121 125
122 USC 5-1 122 122
123 Utah 3-2 123 123
124 Utah St 1-5 124 124
125 Vanderbilt 0-9 67 125
126 W Michigan 4-2 126 126
127 Washington 3-1 127 127
128 Washington St 1-3 128 128
129 Wisconsin 4-3 129 129
130 Wyoming 2-4 130 130
* W/L record can contain games versus non-FBS opponents
Games where lower rated team was victorious
Date Score
9/12/2020 Georgia Tech 16 : Florida St 13
9/26/2020 Syracuse 37 : Georgia Tech 20
9/26/2020 Tennessee 31 : South Carolina 27
9/26/2020 Virginia 38 : Duke 20
10/3/2020 Mississippi 42 : Kentucky 41
10/3/2020 Tulsa 34 : UCF 26
10/22/2020 Appalachian St 45 : Arkansas St 17
10/23/2020 Wisconsin 45 : Illinois 7
10/24/2020 Ohio St 52 : Nebraska 17
10/24/2020 LSU 52 : South Carolina 24
10/24/2020 Purdue 24 : Iowa 20
10/24/2020 UT San Antonio 27 : Louisiana Tech 26
10/24/2020 Rutgers 38 : Michigan St 27
10/24/2020 Texas Tech 34 : West Virginia 27
10/24/2020 Missouri 20 : Kentucky 10
10/24/2020 Northwestern 43 : Maryland 3
10/24/2020 Houston 37 : Navy 21
10/24/2020 Cincinnati 42 : SMU 13
10/24/2020 Hawaii 34 : Fresno St 19
10/24/2020 Louisville 48 : Florida St 16
10/24/2020 Wake Forest 23 : Virginia Tech 16
10/24/2020 San Jose St 17 : Air Force 6
10/24/2020 Georgia St 36 : Troy 34
10/29/2020 Ga Southern 24 : South Alabama 17
10/29/2020 Fresno St 38 : Colorado St 17
10/30/2020 Wyoming 31 : Hawaii 7
10/31/2020 San Jose St 38 : New Mexico 21
10/31/2020 Northwestern 21 : Iowa 20
10/31/2020 Virginia 44 : North Carolina 41
10/31/2020 Michigan St 27 : Michigan 24
10/31/2020 Cincinnati 49 : Memphis 10
10/31/2020 Texas 41 : Oklahoma St 34
10/31/2020 Boise St 49 : Air Force 30
10/31/2020 Purdue 31 : Illinois 24
10/31/2020 Troy 38 : Arkansas St 10
10/31/2020 West Virginia 37 : Kansas St 10
10/31/2020 Rice 30 : Southern Miss 6
10/31/2020 Wake Forest 38 : Syracuse 14
10/31/2020 Louisiana Tech 37 : UAB 34
11/4/2020 W Michigan 58 : Akron 13
11/4/2020 Miami OH 38 : Ball St 31
11/4/2020 Toledo 38 : Bowling Green 3
11/4/2020 Kent 27 : E Michigan 23
11/6/2020 San Jose St 28 : San Diego St 17
11/7/2020 Pittsburgh 41 : Florida St 17
11/7/2020 Arkansas 24 : Tennessee 13
11/7/2020 Ga Southern 20 : Troy 13
11/7/2020 Minnesota 41 : Illinois 14
11/7/2020 Northwestern 21 : Nebraska 13
11/7/2020 Florida 44 : Georgia 28
11/7/2020 Liberty 38 : Virginia Tech 35
11/7/2020 Notre Dame 47 : Clemson 40
11/7/2020 USC 28 : Arizona St 27
11/7/2020 Washington St 38 : Oregon St 28
11/10/2020 Kent 62 : Bowling Green 24
11/10/2020 Ohio 24 : Akron 10
11/11/2020 W Michigan 41 : Toledo 38
11/14/2020 Wisconsin 49 : Michigan 11
11/14/2020 San Diego St 34 : Hawaii 10
11/14/2020 Texas Tech 24 : Baylor 23
11/14/2020 West Virginia 24 : TCU 6
11/14/2020 USC 34 : Arizona 30
11/14/2020 WKU 10 : Southern Miss 7
11/14/2020 NC State 38 : Florida St 22
11/14/2020 Tulsa 28 : SMU 24
11/14/2020 Washington 27 : Oregon St 21
11/14/2020 Mississippi 59 : South Carolina 42
11/15/2020 UCLA 34 : California 10
11/17/2020 Kent 69 : Akron 35
11/17/2020 Buffalo 42 : Bowling Green 17
11/18/2020 W Michigan 52 : C Michigan 44
11/18/2020 Toledo 45 : E Michigan 28
11/20/2020 Louisville 30 : Syracuse 0
11/21/2020 Texas St 47 : Arkansas St 45
11/21/2020 MTSU 20 : Troy 17
11/21/2020 LSU 27 : Arkansas 24
11/21/2020 Cincinnati 36 : UCF 33
11/21/2020 Oklahoma 41 : Oklahoma St 13
11/21/2020 Ohio St 42 : Indiana 35
11/21/2020 Georgia St 31 : South Alabama 14
11/21/2020 Pittsburgh 47 : Virginia Tech 14
11/21/2020 Washington 44 : Arizona 27
11/21/2020 Oregon St 31 : California 27
11/21/2020 Missouri 17 : South Carolina 10
11/26/2020 Utah St 41 : New Mexico 27
11/27/2020 Oregon St 41 : Oregon 38
11/27/2020 Stanford 24 : California 23
11/27/2020 Wyoming 45 : UNLV 14
11/28/2020 Baylor 32 : Kansas St 31
11/28/2020 South Alabama 38 : Arkansas St 31
11/28/2020 Rutgers 37 : Purdue 30
11/28/2020 UCLA 27 : Arizona 10
11/28/2020 Washington 24 : Utah 21
11/28/2020 East Carolina 52 : SMU 38
11/28/2020 W Michigan 30 : N Illinois 27
11/28/2020 Georgia St 30 : Ga Southern 24
11/28/2020 Penn St 27 : Michigan 17
11/28/2020 Ohio 52 : Bowling Green 10
11/28/2020 Miami OH 38 : Akron 7
12/5/2020 Utah 30 : Oregon St 24
12/5/2020 Colorado 24 : Arizona 13
12/5/2020 Rice 20 : Marshall 0
12/5/2020 Toledo 41 : N Illinois 24
12/5/2020 Ohio St 52 : Michigan St 12
12/5/2020 San Diego St 29 : Colorado St 17
12/5/2020 Tulane 35 : Memphis 21
12/5/2020 NC State 23 : Georgia Tech 13
12/5/2020 Coastal Car 22 : BYU 17
12/5/2020 UCLA 25 : Arizona St 18
12/5/2020 Iowa 35 : Illinois 21
12/5/2020 Nevada 37 : Fresno St 26
12/5/2020 TCU 29 : Oklahoma St 22
12/5/2020 Texas 69 : Kansas St 31
12/5/2020 Troy 29 : South Alabama 0
12/5/2020 Virginia 43 : Boston College 32
12/5/2020 San Jose St 35 : Hawaii 24
12/5/2020 Texas Tech 16 : Kansas 13
12/5/2020 Ga Southern 20 : FL Atlantic 3
12/5/2020 Kentucky 41 : South Carolina 18
12/5/2020 Missouri 50 : Arkansas 48
12/6/2020 WKU 37 : Charlotte 19
12/10/2020 Pittsburgh 34 : Georgia Tech 20
12/10/2020 Southern Miss 45 : FL Atlantic 31
12/11/2020 San Jose St 30 : Nevada 20
12/11/2020 Arizona St 70 : Arizona 7
12/12/2020 Louisville 45 : Wake Forest 21
12/12/2020 North Carolina 62 : Miami FL 26
12/12/2020 Buffalo 56 : Akron 7
12/12/2020 Stanford 27 : Oregon St 24
12/12/2020 TCU 52 : Louisiana Tech 10
12/12/2020 Army 15 : Navy 0
12/12/2020 Rutgers 27 : Maryland 24
12/12/2020 Utah 38 : Colorado 21
12/12/2020 Northwestern 28 : Illinois 10
12/12/2020 New Mexico 49 : Fresno St 39
12/12/2020 USC 43 : UCLA 38
12/12/2020 Toledo 24 : C Michigan 23
12/12/2020 LSU 37 : Florida 34
12/12/2020 Penn St 39 : Michigan St 24
12/18/2020 UAB 22 : Marshall 13
12/19/2020 Wisconsin 20 : Minnesota 17
12/19/2020 LSU 53 : Mississippi 48
12/19/2020 Oklahoma 27 : Iowa St 21
12/19/2020 Penn St 56 : Illinois 21
12/19/2020 Army 10 : Air Force 7
12/19/2020 San Jose St 34 : Boise St 20
12/19/2020 Cincinnati 27 : Tulsa 24
12/19/2020 Ohio St 22 : Northwestern 10
12/22/2020 Nevada 38 : Tulane 27
12/23/2020 Ga Southern 38 : Louisiana Tech 3
12/24/2020 Hawaii 28 : Houston 14
12/25/2020 Buffalo 17 : Marshall 10
12/26/2020 Liberty 37 : Coastal Car 34
12/29/2020 Oklahoma St 37 : Miami FL 34
12/30/2020 Oklahoma 55 : Florida 20
12/30/2020 Wisconsin 42 : Wake Forest 28
12/31/2020 West Virginia 24 : Army 21
12/31/2020 Mississippi St 28 : Tulsa 26
1/1/2021 Alabama 31 : Notre Dame 14
1/1/2021 Northwestern 35 : Auburn 19
1/1/2021 Ohio St 49 : Clemson 28