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Methodology

Ken Massey's College Football Ranking Comparisons :  Lots of other ranking to see here!

 

 

CURRENT RETRODICTION RATINGS  (Thru Games of: 11/30/2024)

Using these ratings, the lower rated team has beaten a higher rated team
in only 86 out of 731 FBS games (11.76%).
 See games below.

Ranking Team W-L* Best
Possible		 Worst
Possible
1 Oregon 12-0 1 1
2 Boise St 11-1 2 29
3 Notre Dame 11-1 3 3
4 Army 10-1 4 81
5 Alabama 9-3 5 5
6 Georgia 10-2 6 6
7 Texas 11-1 7 7
8 Texas A&M 8-4 8 8
9 LSU 8-4 9 9
10 Mississippi 9-3 10 10
11 Syracuse 9-3 11 19
12 South Carolina 9-3 12 12
13 Missouri 9-3 13 13
14 Arkansas 6-6 14 14
15 Tennessee 10-2 15 15
16 Vanderbilt 6-6 16 16
17 Oklahoma 6-6 17 17
18 Ohio St 10-2 18 23
19 SMU 11-1 19 21
20 Georgia Tech 7-5 20 20
21 Miami FL 10-2 21 21
22 Louisville 8-4 22 22
23 Florida 7-5 23 23
24 Indiana 11-1 19 36
25 Auburn 5-7 25 25
26 Kentucky 4-8 26 26
27 Penn St 11-1 19 30
28 Duke 9-3 22 39
29 Clemson 9-3 23 39
30 UNLV 10-2 12 55
31 Illinois 9-3 31 31
32 Rutgers 7-5 32 36
33 Washington St 8-4 33 33
34 Texas Tech 8-4 34 34
35 Iowa St 10-2 35 35
36 Iowa 8-4 36 36
37 Washington 6-6 37 37
38 Michigan 7-5 38 38
39 Minnesota 7-5 39 39
40 Virginia Tech 6-6 40 40
41 USC 6-6 41 41
42 UCLA 5-7 42 42
43 Nebraska 6-6 43 43
44 Wisconsin 5-7 44 44
45 Arizona St 10-2 45 45
46 BYU 10-2 46 46
47 Kansas St 8-4 47 49
48 Northwestern 4-8 45 59
49 Boston College 7-5 49 49
50 Colorado 9-3 50 50
51 UCF 4-8 51 52
52 Baylor 8-4 52 52
53 TCU 8-4 53 53
54 Pittsburgh 7-5 54 54
55 West Virginia 6-6 55 55
56 Kansas 5-7 56 56
57 Arizona 4-8 56 60
58 Michigan St 5-7 58 58
59 Cincinnati 5-7 59 59
60 Maryland 4-8 60 60
61 Houston 4-8 61 61
62 Utah 5-7 62 62
63 North Carolina 6-6 63 63
64 Virginia 5-7 64 64
65 Oklahoma St 3-9 65 65
66 Ga Southern 8-4 66 69
67 Tulane 9-3 67 67
68 Louisiana 10-2 68 68
69 Wake Forest 4-8 69 70
70 Marshall 9-3 67 71
71 NC State 6-6 71 71
72 Coastal Car 6-6 72 73
73 Navy 8-3 73 74
74 Appalachian St 5-6 74 83
75 Memphis 10-2 75 75
76 Florida St 2-10 76 76
77 California 6-6 77 77
78 Connecticut 8-4 70 81
79 WKU 8-4 79 79
80 Jacksonville St 8-4 80 80
81 Sam Houston St 9-3 81 81
82 Rice 4-8 82 82
83 ULM 5-7 83 83
84 James Madison 8-4 84 84
85 South Florida 6-6 83 86
86 Liberty 8-3 86 86
87 Charlotte 5-7 87 87
88 East Carolina 7-5 88 88
89 Old Dominion 5-7 89 89
90 Georgia St 3-9 90 90
91 UAB 3-9 91 91
92 Texas St 7-5 92 92
93 Arkansas St 7-5 93 93
94 UT San Antonio 6-6 94 94
95 North Texas 6-6 95 97
96 Miami OH 8-4 96 96
97 Ohio 9-3 97 97
98 South Alabama 6-6 98 98
99 Hawaii 5-7 99 105
100 Buffalo 8-4 100 100
101 Toledo 7-5 101 101
102 N Illinois 7-5 102 102
103 Bowling Green 7-5 103 103
104 W Michigan 6-6 104 104
105 Akron 4-8 105 105
106 Fresno St 6-6 106 106
107 Colorado St 8-4 107 107
108 San Jose St 7-5 108 109
109 New Mexico 5-7 109 109
110 Air Force 5-7 110 110
111 Nevada 3-10 111 114
112 E Michigan 5-7 112 112
113 C Michigan 4-8 113 113
114 Ball St 3-9 114 114
115 Oregon St 5-7 115 115
116 Temple 3-9 96 116
117 FL Atlantic 3-9 117 118
118 UTEP 3-9 118 118
119 Florida Intl 4-8 119 119
120 Utah St 4-8 120 120
121 San Diego St 3-9 121 121
122 Wyoming 3-9 122 122
123 Tulsa 3-9 123 123
124 Troy 4-8 124 124
125 New Mexico St 3-9 120 125
126 Louisiana Tech 5-7 126 126
127 MTSU 3-9 127 127
128 Stanford 3-9 128 128
129 Mississippi St 2-10 102 130
130 Purdue 1-11 116 130
131 Massachusetts 2-10 131 131
132 Southern Miss 1-11 125 132
133 Kent 0-12 115 133
* W/L record can contain games versus non-FBS opponents
Games where lower rated team was victorious
Date Score
8/29/2024 North Carolina 19 : Minnesota 17
9/1/2024 USC 27 : LSU 20
9/6/2024 BYU 18 : SMU 15
9/7/2024 Utah 23 : Baylor 12
9/7/2024 California 21 : Auburn 14
9/7/2024 Florida Intl 52 : C Michigan 16
9/7/2024 Oklahoma St 39 : Arkansas 31
9/7/2024 N Illinois 16 : Notre Dame 14
9/14/2024 E Michigan 37 : Jacksonville St 34
9/14/2024 Georgia St 36 : Vanderbilt 32
9/19/2024 South Alabama 48 : Appalachian St 14
9/20/2024 Stanford 26 : Syracuse 24
9/21/2024 Louisville 31 : Georgia Tech 19
9/21/2024 James Madison 70 : North Carolina 50
9/28/2024 Charlotte 21 : Rice 20
9/28/2024 Wyoming 31 : Air Force 19
9/28/2024 Kentucky 20 : Mississippi 17
10/4/2024 Houston 30 : TCU 19
10/5/2024 Toledo 30 : Miami OH 20
10/5/2024 Nebraska 14 : Rutgers 7
10/5/2024 Oregon St 39 : Colorado St 31
10/5/2024 San Diego St 27 : Hawaii 24
10/5/2024 Vanderbilt 40 : Alabama 35
10/5/2024 Virginia 24 : Boston College 14
10/10/2024 James Madison 39 : Coastal Car 7
10/12/2024 Cincinnati 19 : UCF 13
10/12/2024 Wisconsin 42 : Rutgers 7
10/19/2024 W Michigan 48 : Buffalo 41
10/19/2024 Michigan St 32 : Iowa 20
10/19/2024 Cincinnati 24 : Arizona St 14
10/19/2024 Maryland 29 : USC 28
10/19/2024 UCLA 35 : Rutgers 32
10/19/2024 Baylor 59 : Texas Tech 35
10/19/2024 Tennessee 24 : Alabama 17
10/22/2024 Louisiana Tech 14 : UTEP 10
10/24/2024 Old Dominion 47 : Ga Southern 19
10/24/2024 Pittsburgh 41 : Syracuse 13
10/25/2024 USC 42 : Rutgers 20
10/26/2024 Virginia Tech 21 : Georgia Tech 6
10/26/2024 South Alabama 46 : ULM 17
10/26/2024 Bowling Green 41 : Toledo 26
10/26/2024 Tulsa 46 : UT San Antonio 45
10/26/2024 Ball St 25 : N Illinois 23
10/26/2024 TCU 35 : Texas Tech 34
11/2/2024 Minnesota 25 : Illinois 17
11/2/2024 Troy 38 : Coastal Car 24
11/2/2024 Houston 24 : Kansas St 19
11/2/2024 Rice 24 : Navy 10
11/2/2024 MTSU 20 : UTEP 13
11/2/2024 UT San Antonio 44 : Memphis 36
11/2/2024 Wyoming 49 : New Mexico 45
11/2/2024 South Carolina 44 : Texas A&M 20
11/8/2024 UCLA 20 : Iowa 17
11/8/2024 California 46 : Wake Forest 36
11/9/2024 Texas St 38 : ULM 17
11/9/2024 Kansas 45 : Iowa St 36
11/9/2024 Virginia 24 : Pittsburgh 19
11/9/2024 Boston College 37 : Syracuse 31
11/9/2024 Mississippi 28 : Georgia 10
11/9/2024 Colorado 41 : Texas Tech 27
11/9/2024 Air Force 36 : Fresno St 28
11/16/2024 Arkansas St 27 : Georgia St 20
11/16/2024 Florida 27 : LSU 16
11/16/2024 New Mexico 38 : Washington St 35
11/16/2024 Troy 28 : Ga Southern 20
11/16/2024 Utah St 55 : Hawaii 10
11/16/2024 Stanford 38 : Louisville 35
11/16/2024 South Alabama 24 : Louisiana 22
11/16/2024 Louisiana Tech 12 : WKU 7
11/16/2024 Kansas 17 : BYU 13
11/19/2024 C Michigan 16 : W Michigan 14
11/23/2024 West Virginia 31 : UCF 21
11/23/2024 Liberty 38 : WKU 21
11/23/2024 Oklahoma 24 : Alabama 3
11/23/2024 Oregon St 41 : Washington St 38
11/23/2024 UAB 40 : Rice 14
11/23/2024 Florida 24 : Mississippi 17
11/23/2024 Auburn 43 : Texas A&M 41
11/23/2024 Arkansas St 28 : ULM 21
11/23/2024 Kansas 37 : Colorado 21
11/26/2024 Akron 21 : Toledo 14
11/28/2024 Memphis 34 : Tulane 24
11/29/2024 Utah 28 : UCF 14
11/30/2024 Michigan 13 : Ohio St 10
11/30/2024 NC State 35 : North Carolina 30
11/30/2024 Wyoming 15 : Washington St 14